While I'm not into the fantasy thing, I know that a number on here are, so this is for you. Enough people like to doubt me on here. "How do you know, StraightJ?", some may wonder. Well, I'll tell you how! While passionately rooting for the Bills(and/or against the Patriots) on game day, I've had the fortune of reading clowns in the Shoutbox saying how they are happy because someone playing against the Bills and/or someone on the Patriots is on their fantasy football team.

Anyhow, this guy gives his preview of the Bills from a fantasy perspective. It appears he's writing it neutrally, if that matters to you.





Published 7 hours ago on June 26, 2019 By Nolan Kelly

Welcome to our first of 32 fantasy football team previews geared toward season-long NFL leagues. First off, Nolan Kelly breaks down offseason developments for each team, examining depth charts, coaching moves, positional battles, players to watch, Best Ball ADP and targets up for grabs. From there, Ben Rasa breaks down his favorite bets, fantasy football sleepers, and drafting strategies for your teams. With Best Ball drafts already going and ESPN and Yahoo Fantasy Football leagues starting shortly, our goal is to get you prepped early and thoroughly for your upcoming fantasy drafts.

We’ll be releasing four team previews per week, starting June 25 and going through August 16, beginning with the AFC East.

As part of our fantasy football draft offerings, Awesemo, the world’s #1 fantasy sports player, will release his NFL Fantasy Football rankings and projection in mid-July for free. Awesemo is using the same approach that earns him millions every year on daily fantasy sports to help you master your season-long drafts. More on that, soon!

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Previous previews:

June 26: New England Patriots

The Buffalo Bills
Article index:

Overview
Key Fantasy Departures: Targets
Offensive additions
Best Ball ADP
Positional breakdowns: QB, WR, RB, TE, O-line
Preseason players to watch
Betting guide
Fantasy players to target
Biggest question mark
Fantasy football sleepers
Awesemo’s fantasy football rankings
Final thoughts
Overview
Sean McDermott returns for his third season as the head of the Bills, likely in a make-or-break season. The Bills return offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, but have added new offensive line, and quarterback coaches. Ken Dorsey comes in to tutor Josh Allen, after coaching Cam Newton during his MVP season, while Bobby Johnson moves over from the Colts, where he was the assistant offensive line coach. The Bills have one of the least exciting fantasy football rosters in the NFL, but there are some bargains to be had in the later rounds.

Run rate: 46.43% (4th highest)

Pass rate: 53.57% (4th lowest)

Key Fantasy Departures: Targets
Total targets up for grabs: 209

Kelvin Benjamin: 60

Charles Clay: 33

Jason Croom: 32

Other: 84

Fantasy Football Offensive Additions
Cole Beasley: Former Cowboy slot receiver adds much needed depth to the receiving corps.
John Brown: Former Ravens leading receiver should be the go-to guy.
Frank Gore, TJ Yeldon, Devin Singletary: Yeldon might take over passing-down duties, Gore could eat into LeSean McCoy’s touches, and Devin Singletary may be the best of the bunch. All signs point to a stay-away, RB by committee.
Tyler Kroft: Comes over from the Bengals after an injury shortened season, taking over for the departed Charles Clay.
New O-line: Four new additions and a new coach should provide an upgrade. There’s nowhere to go but up.
Best Ball ADP
Buffalo has an NFL worst zero players in the top-100 and only one position player in the top-150.

107) LeSean McCoy

123) Josh Allen

161) Devin Singletary

168) Zay Jones

170) John Brown

176) Robert Foster

196) T.J. Yeldon

237) Cole Beasley

257) Frank Gore

Quarterback
Josh Allen is a better fantasy quarterback than he is a real life one – at this point in his career, anyways. Allen’s legs are the reason you take a late round flier if you’re waiting on quarterback. He led the league with 508 yards from scrambling and will likely only finish second to Lamar Jackson this year in total QB rushing yards.

If you’re drafting Allen, you’re hoping for the quarterback who had four top-five QB scoring weeks over the last seven games of the 2019 season. With an upgraded Bills receiving corps and another year under his belt, Allen could very well crack into the top 12-15 fantasy quarterbacks this year. If you’re waiting on QB in best ball drafts, he’s a great option to pair with your starter or with another of these late-round QBs who have decent floors because of their rushing ability.

Wide Receiver
Suddenly, the Bills have gone from having no capable receivers, to having four players that could realistically lead the team. John Brown is the most likely candidate, after impressing last season in Baltimore before the Ravens went to the most run-heavy offence since the advent of the wishbone. In Brown’s first nine games last season before Jackson took over, he tallied 34 receptions and 598 receiving yards on 67 targets.

Cole Beasley ranked fourth in the NFL in slot snaps last year and though he complained about his deployment in Dallas, it’s hard to picture him taking on much of a different role in Buffalo. Beasley may indeed get more, well-deserved targets – he ranked 37th last year in PFF’s receiving grades, and that could affect Zay Jones’ role in the Bills offence. Jones finished 22nd in snaps from the slot last year and may find himself on the outside looking in.

Finally, don’t sleep on Robert Foster. He had instant chemistry with Josh Allen after they phased Kelvin Benjamin out of the offence. Over the last seven games of the season, Foster posted a 27-511-3 line, that would have put him at 1,100+ yards over a full season. The former Alabama speedster ran a 4.40 at the combine last year.

Running Back
It’s crowded back there. The Bills have brought in Frank Gore, T.J. Yeldon and Devin Singletary to compete for touches with the oft-injured LeSean McCoy. From a fantasy football perspective, this is a stay-away. Watch what happens in camp to see if third round pick Devin Singletary makes a name for himself.

Tight End
Another stay-away. Newly signed Tyler Kroft will take over for Charles Clay.

Offensive Line
Trending: Up (nowhere else go to)

Run blocking rank: 31st

Pass blocking rank: 19th

This is where things get interesting. As a unit, the Bills were a disaster last year, ranking 31st in in run blocking and 19th in pass blocking. Cue the overhaul.

Gone is coach Juan Castillo, hired in his place, former Indianapolis Colts assistant offensive line coach, Bobby Johnson. Johnson served under two-time Super Bowl champion line coach Dave DeGuglielmo on Frank Reich’s staff, where the Colts offensive line ranked first in the league, allowing a league-low 18 sacks and third in PFF’s run-blocking grade.

But the Bills didn’t stop there, they could have as many as four new starters, including former Chiefs cog Mitch Morse at centre and 2nd round pick Cody Ford. Quinton Spain and Spencer Long were brought in to start at guard. There should be an upgrade in pass protection, but none of these guys move the needle in the run game.

Preseason players to watch
Rookie RB Devin Singletary.
Zay Jones new role after the addition of Cole Beasley.
Offensive line play.
2019 O/U Win Total – 6.5 (Over -165 , Under +135)
The Bills addressed the QB question in 2018 with Josh Allen and now have done their best to surround him with more and more weapons for this 2019 season. With a win total of 6.5 in the O/U market we see they still have plenty of room to go before they are a contender, even with things looking like they are heading in the right direction.

Ben’s Favorite Player to Target
Josh Allen – QB

The Bills season outlook is going to start with Josh Allen’s second year progression and we saw some of the upside he possesses in his rookie campaign last year. Allen was on the move early and often and I think everyone was impressed with his abilities on the ground accounting for 8 TD’s and 600 yards rushing in only 12 games. This year I would assume the plan is for Allen to run less and improve on the 10 TD 12 INT passing line that we saw from him in his first season.

With added weapons on the outside (John Brown, Cole Beasley) Allen should have more reliable targets and that can help alleviate some of the drop issues the Bills dealt with last year. Allen to me is one of the bigger boom bust options at QB in the entire league and I wouldn’t hesitate to take a shot in the later rounds on a guy I think could really knock on the door of a top half Fantasy QB this year.

Biggest Question Mark
Can the Bills RB’s coexist with Josh Allen?

With Josh Allen being such a polarizing figure in the offense it does really hurt the backfield as a whole and we saw that with LeSean McCoy having a poor 2018 season. There is no reason to think that McCoy will take on a bigger role , especially in a crowded backfield with Gore, Yeldon and rookie Devin Singletary all on the roster. This is an easy stay away situation for me as Allen and some of the weapons on the outside are the only spots worth targeting on this Bills team and we will have to wait and see how this RB hierarchy unfolds as the season progresses.

NFL Fantasy Football Sleeper
John Brown – WR

If you are a believer in Allen, newly acquired John Brown would be the fantasy football sleeper I’m most interested in. Brown really struggled last year once Lamar Jackson took over in Baltimore and that makes sense given how awful his skillset fit in with that run heavy offensive scheme. He is clearly more suited for Standard scoring rather than PPR due to his homerun abilities I think Brown and Allen will be a nice combo who link up for some potentially gigantic outputs during the course of this season due to Allen’s skills with the deep ball.

Awesemo’s NFL Fantasy Football Rankings
Check back in mid-July for season-long projections and fantasy football rankings from the #1 ranked DFS player in the world.

Updates
Updated throughout preseason and training camp.

Final Thoughts
Similar to the Jets, the Bills has their sights on trying to stop the Patriots dominance in the AFC East and to do that they are going to need some play makers to emerge on both sides of the ball. As I mentioned earlier Josh Allen is going to be the key to any success the Bills may have and if one or more of these newly acquired weapons can emerge as a reliable play maker this will be a dangerously team to face. John Brown seems like a natural fit with his ability to stretch defenses and someone like Cole Beasley could bolster the underneath passing attack and provide more stability for a guy like Allen.

If the Bills offense makes some progress there are a handful of players that will be very beneficial in Best Ball or traditional Fantasy Football leagues so don’t be afraid to take a shot in the later rounds for a potential big payoff.


Nolan Kelly
https://www.awesemo.com/nfl/nfl-fant...-and-rankings/