1968_bills_fan
April 27th, 2006, 9:57:37 PM
With the possibility of the Bills trading down, I have been puzzling over the draft value charts. I'm using the War Room values. Here is a comparison of the incremental decrease in "draft value value" going down the pick number.
For picks #X to #Y each drop in draft number
is associated with a draft value pick value of
pick # 1 to # 4:::::::::::::::::: -400 points 2350 points average
pick # 4 to # 8:::::::::::::::::: -100 points 1550 points average
pick # 9 to # 18::::::::::::::::: - 50 points 1175 points average
pick # 19 to # 22:::::::::::::::: - 25 points 825 points average
pick # 23 to # 32:::::::::::::::: - 20 points 680 points average
pick #34 to # 60:::::::::::::::: -10 points 430 points average
pick #35 to # 64:::::::::::::::: -8 or -6 points
3rd round ::::::::::::::::::::::: pretty much -5 points about 200 points-- one TENTH of one of the first 4 players (???????)
The first round has a steep decrease in value for the next player, in the second round one there is a pretty consistant drop. I guess my issues is the very high scores for the first round picks and fast drop off in the first round. This seems not to make sense. What is so special about the first round players? Are they supermen? Why is there such a difference between the #1 and the #5 player? Do they have three legs or five balls? Why are there so many busts in the first round? How can anyone fairly compare players who have different supporting casts, play against different opponents and have different newpaper markets, television exposures and different playing systems? I guess I would like to see a comparison of "Draft Value Number" as drafted against % of all-pro recognition or % NFL starter. Maybe trade down is not such a bad idea....................
For picks #X to #Y each drop in draft number
is associated with a draft value pick value of
pick # 1 to # 4:::::::::::::::::: -400 points 2350 points average
pick # 4 to # 8:::::::::::::::::: -100 points 1550 points average
pick # 9 to # 18::::::::::::::::: - 50 points 1175 points average
pick # 19 to # 22:::::::::::::::: - 25 points 825 points average
pick # 23 to # 32:::::::::::::::: - 20 points 680 points average
pick #34 to # 60:::::::::::::::: -10 points 430 points average
pick #35 to # 64:::::::::::::::: -8 or -6 points
3rd round ::::::::::::::::::::::: pretty much -5 points about 200 points-- one TENTH of one of the first 4 players (???????)
The first round has a steep decrease in value for the next player, in the second round one there is a pretty consistant drop. I guess my issues is the very high scores for the first round picks and fast drop off in the first round. This seems not to make sense. What is so special about the first round players? Are they supermen? Why is there such a difference between the #1 and the #5 player? Do they have three legs or five balls? Why are there so many busts in the first round? How can anyone fairly compare players who have different supporting casts, play against different opponents and have different newpaper markets, television exposures and different playing systems? I guess I would like to see a comparison of "Draft Value Number" as drafted against % of all-pro recognition or % NFL starter. Maybe trade down is not such a bad idea....................